Russia has an interest in destabilizing us with migrants, but chaos reigns in Rome

Russia has an interest in destabilizing us with migrants, but chaos reigns in Rome

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In addition to having a number of undeniable humanitarian and economic dimensions, Are migratory flows also a matter of national security? I would say that the answer is obvious, if only one considers the impact that, historically, they have had in the affairs of more than one political community. And I would add that, in a conception of national security that is not reduced to a narrow inventory of military assets, it is legitimate to worry about them in terms of security as well. Moreover, in a hybrid war scenario, such as the one Russia is waging against Ukraine and Western democracies, the hypothesis that the Wagner security company may also want to use the flows pointing to Italy as a weapon cannot be excluded a priori. Punishing or making life difficult for a government staunchly loyal to solidarity with Ukraine would serve Russian interests. Wagner is present on the eastern coasts of Libya, in various countries of the Sahel and in sub-Saharan Africa, he acts on behalf of the Kremlin and it can be assumed that he is also economically interested in entering the barbaric and lucrative market of trafficking in human beings. This is the phenomenon described by Mike Galeotti in his “The Weaponisation of Everything” (Yale University Press, 2022), according to whom in the contemporary world, characterized by very strong interdependence but also by an equally tough clash for global leadership, anything can be used as a weapon, regardless of its intrinsic nature. However, it is another matter to determine whether Wagner is able to realize this aspiration and with what results. As far as we know, at the moment, the hypothesis is founded but to be verified in qualitative and quantitative terms.

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