Renzi’s side step, which is already looking beyond Calenda’s third pole
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To understand where this new adventure of the volcanic Matteo Renzi, former secretary of the Democratic Party from 2013 to 2018 and premier from 2014 to 2017, then creator of Italia Viva and promoter of the union with Carlo Calenda’s action, will lead, it is useful to start from the leader of the constituting the Third Pole. «What is Renzi going to do as the director of the Riformista? It is consistent with his choice to deal with cultural and business matters and to take a step back from politics. In my opinion he will do it very well », comments Calenda with his friends. And again, this time on TV: «Renzi has not been in the governing bodies of the Third Pole for some time, he has taken a step back. He promised it and he did it, fine. He is in fact. He fulfilled a promise made to the Italians ».
Calenda breathes a sigh of relief, but not too much
In reality, Renzi had made the promise when he was still at Palazzo Chigi (“if the Senate reform doesn’t pass in the referendum, I’ll leave politics”), and in the meantime he re-nominated for leadership of the Democratic Party by winning the 2017 primaries, he did the split founding Italia Viva, allowed the birth of Count 2 and then decreed his death by opening the doors of Palazzo Chigi a personality like Mario Draghi. But the point is that Calenda can, on the one hand, breathe a sigh of relief, since the cumbersome party mate has made a choice that confirms that he does not want to undermine his leadership of the single party being set up (“I only see Calenda of leading candidates, I’m not in the game, I said it from day one», Renzi himself clarified after the announcement of the adventure to the Riformista); on the other, he remains on the alert because Renzi’s choice does not cancel but only postpones the internal redde rationem.
Renzi’s strategy: beyond the third pole
Yes, because the former premier has understood for weeks that at the moment the horizon of the Third Pole does not break through the 10% threshold. Net of the very disappointing results of the regional votes (Lombardy, Lazio and most recently Friuli Venezia Giulia), the national polls also remained around the approximately 8% obtained in the general elections of 25 September. Renzi does not say it publicly but partially charges Calenda himself with responsibility for the failure to break through. And he keeps watching. The political project remains alive, as he himself reiterated in the press conference convened to announce the novelty of the journalistic adventure (“I really believe in the Third Pole and I will be a loyal collaborator”), but it is not said that the leadership will remain alive (” at the moment as a candidate I only see Calenda, who has the task of managing this phase, if an alternative or more than one arrives, we will communicate it to interested parties»).
An eye to the after Berlusconi and an eye to the evolution of the Democratic Party
From now to when we will vote, in four years, there are many political variables. Meanwhile there will be the after Berlusconi, with the possible migration of the more moderate and liberal part of Forza Italia, and the foreseeable deflating of consensus for Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni grappling with the hard work of governing. And above all, from Renzi’s point of view, the Democratic Party must be kept an eye on. It is no mystery that the former prime minister had bet on the reformist Stefano Bonaccini in the recent primaries. But the famous “prairies” that should have opened with the victory of Elly Schlein and the leftward shift of the axis of the Democratic Party are still not seen. Renzi is convinced that the new dem secretary will crash and that in any case a substantial piece of his old party will look elsewhere, but it takes time.
«Between Meloni and Schlein-Conte silent majority of 40%»
This is why Renzi is keen to underline that the readers-voters of “his” Riformista do not coincide with the small world of the Third Pole. «I believe that the Reformist must go beyond the Third Pole, he will be read by a part of the majority, the reformist center-right, and by the area of the Democratic Party which does not recognize itself in Schlein-clarifies-. It will be a free newspaper. In the middle space between Meloni’s sovereignty and the radical left of Schlein and Conte there is a world of silent majority that has even reached 40% ». When he was leader of the Democratic Party and premier, obviously, at the now distant Europeans of 2014.
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