Regional elections, what the flows reveal in Milan compared to 2022, 2021 and 2018

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For some time now, Milan has been making its own story in electoral events. After Tangentopoli, for almost twenty years, it was the undisputed capital of the centre-right and of the hegemonic Berlusconi thanks to the mayors Formentini (Lega), Albertini and Moratti (Forza Italia). Yet, since 2011, it has been sailing against the current and in splendid solitude with respect to the north wind, firmly anchored to the right. In the government of the city, first with Giuliano Pisapia then with Beppe Sala (who had reached his second term), but also in the other electoral rounds.

For example, at the Politics of last September Fratelli d’Italia triumphed throughout Italy but not in the Lombard capital (Pd first city party with 26.1% of the votes in front of the formation of Giorgia Meloni which collects 18.3%). History repeats itself at the last regional ones. The outgoing Northern League governor, Attilio Fontana, largely conquers the encore mandate at Pirellone but in the city he is clearly defeated by the centre-left candidate, Pierfrancesco Majorino (46.8% vs 37.6%).

But if Milan is a kind of large village of Asterix immersed in Roman Gaul (read centre-right), who did the Milanese voters of Fontana, Majorino and Letizia Moratti vote for in the previous rounds?

Thanks to the data per section available on the Municipality of Milan website, YouTrend was able to process the electoral flows between the 2023 Regionals compared with the 2018 Regionals, the 2021 Municipalities and the 2022 Policies.

Obviously the data shouldn’t be absolutized, due to the very high abstention (in the city only 42.1% of eligible voters voted, practically in line with the regional data), but among the active voters the indications that emerge are interesting.