how much you will pay in November – Corriere.it

According to estimates made by the specialized site Staffetta, the gas bills that will arrive in November, for consumption in October – could fall given that the cost of the raw material which represents the main cost of bills compared to the previous tariffs dropped by about 6 per hundred. In light of the PSV values ​​of the last days of October, the signs that the final price of gas in protective service for October will be below the values ​​of the third quarter July-September are strengthened, writes Staffetta, and this thanks to the sharp drop in PSV (the Italian market) which in October was 81.7 euros per MWh on average in October, lower than the average of the Ttf (the Amsterdam market). According to Staffetta, the definitive item “Cmem” (raw material and related activities) for October should be 82 cents, determining a final price in the order of 115-116 cents per cubic meter, which compares with 123 cents per cubic meter. cubic meter in the third quarter of 2022. Hence the possible drop in gas bills of 6 percent. The old methodology based on the quarterly forward prices of the TTF – always calculates Staffetta – would have brought the gas bill close to 300 cents per cubic meter.

This is due to the new calculation method introduced by the Arera Authority since Octoberwhich only applies to those in the protected gas market, but not as regards electricity, which in fact increased by 59% in the fourth quarter of 2022. From October, the tariff update became monthly instead of quarterly and based on real gas prices on the market PSV of October, therefore on the real cost of raw materials and not on cost estimates based on the performance of futures contracts on the European Ttf market, a method that was used as a reference until the third quarter of 2022 for gas and which still applies to electricity.

And again on the expensive-energy front, the issue of new government aid will be addressed by the Council of Ministers on Friday 4 November and this both in order to have the official Arera rates and because Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni will have returned from her first trip to Brussels. , scheduled for Wed Thursday 3 November, in which he will address the issue of European measures to contain energy prices.