For whom do women, graduates, young people and the unemployed vote: where Meloni’s success is born

It seems a paradox, after an electoral comrade in which it was discussed whether the rise to Palazzo Chigi of the right and Giorgia Meloni they would have questioned the right to abortion, but the female vote has rewarded Brothers of Italy. According to the analysis of voting flows prepared by Swg women voted for Giorgia Meloni. And the Pd. If you look only at the female electorate to choose FdI and his “I want to give women the right not to have an abortion” is 27% of those who went to the polls. 21% the Democratic Party: they are divided into two progressive and national-populist blocs. But there is another disheartening fact: once again there are fewer women who go to vote than men. A trend that has consolidated over the years and which once again has been confirmed with a percentage of abstention in the female electorate that stands at 41%.

Unemployed vote M5S, Pd and Action graduates

In cities with an unemployment rate between 10 and 15 percent – highlights Youtrend – the Movement wins. But Forza Italia also scores successes. In those with more graduates, the Democratic Party and Action-IV are rewarded, while the other political forces drop.

Workers and foreigners

In the municipalities with a greater number of foreigners, Brothers of Italy find consensus, those for the 5 Star Movement fall. While abstention continues to be very high among the workers. But whoever voted chose Conte.

Young

And these are not parties for young people. Voters under 34 have punished traditional parties, demonstrating how much they feel cut off from the projects and programs of the Mainstream group. And have the climate, work and future at heart: again from the YouTrend report the younger voters, especially the young people who demonstrate for Friday for Future have chosen Fratoianni and Bonelli, and a surprisingly high percentage chose the Communist Party by Marco Rizzo, which on a national level stops at 0.26% but among the under 25s it stands at a respectable 1.7%. Among the non-senior electorate, the Third Pole was also successful, winning a substantial slice of support among voters under 44 years of age.

Flows on the territory

The South for the Movement, the North-East that betrays Salvini for Meloni. In the photograph proposed by the Cattaneo FdI Institute, which went from 4 to 26% within a term, it takes root in the Center and in the North-East, with particularly important peaks in Veneto, in eastern Lombardy and in the province of Piacenza. A figure that confirms the stealing of Meloni’s votes from the League. The Democratic Party is struggling to resist within the boundaries of the old Red Zone. The 5 stars have “southernized”: at the time of the vaffa the distribution was more homogeneous, now the electorate has concentrated in the south of the country. While, on the contrary, the League returns to the old borders of Umberto Bossi’s Northern League, losing more than 3 million votes compared to 2018.

General analysis of numbers

As we had already seen in the analysis of the flow on the territory, FDI mainly takes away voters from the League: 40% of its votes. But it also takes away from Fi and M5s. The League also gives a fifth of its electorate to the party of abstention. The PD confirms the large part of its voters, takes to M5s, giving up a part of its own in favor of the Third Pole. Over a third of those who voted for M5S abstained. And the elector of the Movement has changed: today one in two declares themselves to be left, in the last election the percentage was lower, 29%.